A seiche is a standing wave that forms in an enclosed basin after a sudden
disturbance, propagating across the system and persisting long after the
initiating event has passed.
Submit a geoeconomic scenario. Seiche decomposes first, second, and
third-order effects across nineteen transmission channels, surfaces
non-obvious cascade chains, identifies forward-looking tripwires, and
names the dimensions where its own analysis is structurally weak.
Describe a shock or scenario
Transmission Channels
19 of 19 selected
Macro & Financial
Geopolitical & Trade
Physical, Health & Technology
Region Scope
11 of 11 selected · all = global
Cmd/Ctrl + Enter to run · Analysis takes 2–4 minutes
Mapping cascade
Classifying scenario and identifying transmission channels...
A full cascade decomposition typically takes 2–4 minutes. Channel cards will appear progressively as each completes — please keep this tab open.
Sample output
This is a pre-loaded analysis of a hypothetical scenario shown so you can
see what Seiche produces. Submit your own scenario above to run a fresh
analysis.
Methodology
Seiche produces structural channel-mapping analysis grounded in publicly
available data on geoeconomic transmission. Output is descriptive, not
advisory. Seiche does not produce point predictions of prices, rates,
spreads, or specific magnitudes. The tool is structurally limited in
dimensions where data is opaque (NBFI counterparty exposures, internal
political dynamics, classified intelligence, smart-contract legal
enforceability); these limits are surfaced explicitly in each scenario's
blind spots.