A seiche is a standing wave that forms in an enclosed basin after a sudden disturbance, propagating across the system and persisting long after the initiating event has passed.
Submit a geoeconomic scenario. Seiche decomposes first, second, and third-order effects across nineteen transmission channels, surfaces non-obvious cascade chains, identifies forward-looking tripwires, and names the dimensions where its own analysis is structurally weak.
Seiche produces structural channel-mapping analysis grounded in publicly available data on geoeconomic transmission. Output is descriptive, not advisory. Seiche does not produce point predictions of prices, rates, spreads, or specific magnitudes. The tool is structurally limited in dimensions where data is opaque (NBFI counterparty exposures, internal political dynamics, classified intelligence, smart-contract legal enforceability); these limits are surfaced explicitly in each scenario's blind spots.
Part of the Mickey Fortune analytical suite alongside GeoStress, SovRisk, FOMC Oracle, Critical Inputs, and others.